Archive for the fundamental analysis Category

Chinese Curse Bewitches the Dollar

Posted in fundamental analysis, price chart, technical analysis on 2011-04-11 by Strategesis

From Planet Yelnick:

China made a bold currency move Wednesday, and it barely registered in the West: it is encouraging the Yuan to be a reserve currency, to be used to settle transactions in and out of China, instead of the Dollar. For all those pundits and politicians pressuring China to float their currency, they just got their wish.

The Fed has become the biggest buyer of Treasuries, which has worried Bill Gross to ask the question: who buys Treasuries when the Fed exits?



Crowds and Credit

Posted in education, fundamental analysis, liquidity analysis, price chart, socionomics on 2011-02-05 by Strategesis


Manias are fascinating to study in history, but are hard to accept if you are living through one. The most memorable ones in history require two elements, crowds and credit. While today’s global markets are littered with some of the most complex financial instruments in history, anyone studying the history of financial markets quickly recognizes that many of today’s tools for speculating on future price movements can be found as far back as the Amsterdam Exchange, founded in 1610. This exchange allowed speculators to take out margin loans, invest in shares of the East India Company, and purchase futures contracts on tulip bulbs. That’s right; tulip bulbs.


So You Thought Stocks Only Go Up In Boom Times?

Posted in fundamental analysis, liquidity analysis on 2011-01-01 by Strategesis

Martin Armstrong writes:

So you thought that stocks only go up in boom times? Sometimes the opposite takes place. Understanding CAPITAL FLOWS is the most important aspect of the economy, yet is the most overlooked and misunderstood trend in the financial history of man. … Capital revolves within a domestic economy, shifting from stocks, bonds, and real estate creating bubbles in one and then moves to the next. But there are times when that domestic flow is completely altered that can accelerate a given trend or reverse it entirely to the bewilderment of domestic investors. It is this latter combination that often causes the fundamental analysts to run around in circles. … Universities today merely regurgitate theories without observation. Politicians do not want to hear about INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL FLOWS for that implies they cannot do as they like if global capital presents a check and balance against of whims of politicians.

PDF of complete essay

Investing in Gold Ahead of the Chinese

Posted in fundamental analysis on 2010-12-29 by Strategesis

Investing in Gold Ahead of the Chinese (The Mogambo Guru)